Elias Ymer vs Mikhail Kukushkin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Kukushkin outperforms Ymer on second serve points with 46.66% compared to Ymer's 44.75%. How crucial is this stat for game predictions? It has a high correlation with match outcomes.
• Kukushkin also has the edge in return game stats, winning 49.01% of opponents' second serve points compared to Ymer's 47.3%.
• On first serve returns, however, Ymer slightly leads with a success rate of 27.33% against Kukushkin's 26.42%.
• In pressure situations, Kukushkin saves 56.09% of breakpoints, slightly more than Ymer's 54.05%. Is this significant for predicting outcomes during tight matches? Absolutely, as it reflects resilience under pressure.
• Over the past year, Ymer has a slightly higher match win rate at 53.85% versus Kukushkin's 50%.
• On their favored surfaces, Ymer excels more on clay with a career win rate of 60%, while Kukushkin performs better on hard courts, winning 59% of those matches.
• In terms of match level, Kukushkin has a marginally higher win rate in tournaments > $10K at 55.88%, as opposed to Ymer's 54.72% in the same category.
• Their head-to-head history shows Ymer leading with 2 wins to Kukushkin's 1 win, and Ymer has won 5 out of 7 sets played.
• When under pressure, Ymer shines in tie-breaks, winning 2 out of 2, while Kukushkin lags.
• Kukushkin has faced better-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 236.62 compared to Ymer’s 285.48, possibly boosting his experience against tougher competition.
• For deciding sets, Kukushkin wins 61% compared to Ymer's 58% across matches, indicating his slightly better performance in crunch scenarios.
• Currently, Kukushkin edges in breakpoint conversion at 33.59% compared to Ymer’s 30.31%.

Editorial Prediction (July 30, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Elias Ymer and Mikhail Kukushkin will be a contest of differing strengths. Ymer, with a slight advantage in direct confrontations and statistical edge in tie-breaks, might appear to have the advantage.

However, Kukushkin's superior performance on second serves and his ability to save critical breakpoints suggest he can excel under pressure. His experience against higher-ranked opponents further bolsters his competitive readiness.

Given Kukushkin's surface flexibility, better conversion rates in pressure situations, and consistency against formidable opponents, he seems poised to be the favored contender in this match. Thus, Kukushkin is slightly more likely to emerge victorious based on these factors.